Guargacho vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guargacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
5 - 0
GUA
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
UDG
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
4 - 2
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
JLA
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
GUA
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDO
1 - 4
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
1 - 3
UDO
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UDO
3 - 0
UDG
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
UDO
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
UDO
1 - 1
JLA
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |