Guareña vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ADL
3 - 0
GUA
81%
12%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLY
19%
22%
59%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
GUA
69%
17%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
7 - 2
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UCL
6 - 0
CDB
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ADL
0 - 0
UCL
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UCL
3 - 1
UDF
69%
17%
13%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UCL
3 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EMD
1 - 2
UCL
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |