Guareña vs Ilipense-Zalamea S. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 5
GUA
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
6 - 0
CAB
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLY
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea S.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZAL
3 - 2
CAB
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
ZAL
3 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ZAL
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ZAL
0 - 0
CDT
14%
19%
68%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 0
ZAL
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |