Guareña vs Guadiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
MON
45%
25%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 0
CDZ
25%
26%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 5
BAD
13%
26%
61%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
EXT
5 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 4
CPC
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
BUR
4 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 5
DBN
12%
22%
66%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |