Guareña vs CD Zarceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RMC
0 - 3
GUA
22%
21%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
CDS
76%
15%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
QUI
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
GUA
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAM
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Zarceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDZ
3 - 1
GIM
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
5 - 1
CDZ
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 0
CDZ
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDZ
1 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADV
1 - 2
CDZ
39%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |