Guareña vs Calamonte UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Calamonte UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 3
HER
17%
20%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 3
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 3
CDC
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 3
CAB
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDN
0 - 1
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |