Guaratinguetá vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAO
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAY
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
OES
0 - 3
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
OES
0 - 0
ICA
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 4
OES
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
OES
0 - 2
PAL
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
OES
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |