Guaratinguetá vs Linhares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 2
PPE
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ITU
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
SER
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Linhares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 4
BOA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 2
BFC
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BFC
1 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 0
JAG
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
LIN
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |