Série B Brazil Round 1

Guaratinguetá vs Duque de Caxias analysis

Guaratinguetá Duque de Caxias
66 ELO 58
4% Tilt -0.1%
20808º General ELO ranking 6081º
680º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Guaratinguetá
22%
Draw
16.5%
Duque de Caxias

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
Guaratinguetá
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
Duque de Caxias
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guaratinguetá
Duque de Caxias
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaratinguetá
Guaratinguetá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2010
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 1
Guaratinguetá
GUA
31%
26%
43%
66 59 7 0
25 Apr. 2010
GUA
Guaratinguetá
4 - 1
União São João
UNI
56%
23%
21%
66 59 7 0
18 Apr. 2010
SAO
São José
1 - 1
Guaratinguetá
GUA
30%
24%
46%
66 58 8 0
11 Apr. 2010
GUA
Guaratinguetá
1 - 0
São José
SAO
61%
21%
18%
65 58 7 +1
08 Apr. 2010
UNI
União São João
3 - 0
Guaratinguetá
GUA
37%
25%
38%
66 59 7 -1

Matches

Duque de Caxias
Duque de Caxias
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2010
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
3 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
19%
22%
58%
59 82 23 0
28 Mar. 2010
MAC
Macaé Esporte
2 - 2
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
40%
25%
35%
59 54 5 0
24 Mar. 2010
RES
Resende
1 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
32%
24%
43%
59 50 9 0
21 Mar. 2010
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
0 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
71%
17%
12%
60 50 10 -1
13 Mar. 2010
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
28%
25%
47%
60 50 10 0