Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
COM
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
MIR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |