Guarany de Sobral vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
6 - 2
LUV
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 1
ICA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 2
LUV
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
LUV
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |