Guarany de Sobral vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
2 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
JCA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
4DE
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 2
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
IMP
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
IMP
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 1
JCA
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |