Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
LUZ
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
0 - 0
FOR
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |