Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
TRE
1 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
RIV
2 - 2
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
TRE
1 - 0
FER
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
FLU
2 - 0
FER
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1984 |
FER
0 - 5
SAN
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
ABC
0 - 0
FER
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |