Guarany de Sobral vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CEA
9%
17%
75%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |