Gaucho 2 Knock-out stages Final
Global 0-5
Guarany de Bagé vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
ECA
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ECA
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
LAJ
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 1
URS
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
URS
1 - 1
VER
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |