Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 5
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ECJ
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
GEB
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 4
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |