Guarany de Bagé vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCI
2%
18%
80%
|
47 | 91 | 44 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
YPI
9%
17%
75%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
88%
10%
3%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 2
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 2
SLU
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
YPI
2 - 2
CAX
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
9%
19%
73%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +1 |