Guaraní vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
EST
5 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 3
GUA
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 3
CCP
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |