Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 4
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 1
12O
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 3
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
29D
0 - 5
LIB
17%
20%
64%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |