Apertura Paraguay Round 5

Guaraní vs Dep. Capiatá analysis

Guaraní Dep. Capiatá
77 ELO 70
6.2% Tilt 10.7%
769º General ELO ranking 1977º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Guaraní
21.4%
Draw
16.5%
Dep. Capiatá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
Dep. Capiatá
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
+13%
+28%
Dep. Capiatá

ELO progression

Guaraní
Dep. Capiatá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2019
SPO
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
25%
25%
50%
77 67 10 0
02 Feb. 2019
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 1
Libertad
LIB
35%
26%
39%
77 81 4 0
26 Jan. 2019
NAC
Nacional
0 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
39%
25%
36%
76 73 3 +1
24 Jan. 2019
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
32%
25%
43%
76 82 6 0
08 Dec. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 0
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
54%
23%
23%
76 71 5 0

Matches

Dep. Capiatá
Dep. Capiatá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2019
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 0
Dep. Capiatá
DEP
68%
20%
12%
70 82 12 0
28 Jan. 2019
DEP
Dep. Capiatá
3 - 2
Sol de América
AME
31%
27%
43%
69 77 8 +1
23 Jan. 2019
SAN
Deportivo Santaní
0 - 0
Dep. Capiatá
DEP
48%
25%
27%
69 71 2 0
08 Dec. 2018
IND
Independiente FBC
2 - 0
Dep. Capiatá
DEP
37%
26%
37%
70 66 4 -1
02 Dec. 2018
DEP
Dep. Capiatá
2 - 4
Cerro Porteño
CCP
21%
24%
55%
70 82 12 0