Guarani RS vs Porto Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
ECA
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 2
ACP
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
PEL
3 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
POR
3 - 2
YPI
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ECA
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ACP
1 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |