Guarani de Palhoça vs Caçador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
GUA
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
FFC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caçador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 0
INT
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 0
NES
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
CAC
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 1
CAC
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 1
TUB
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |