Guaraní vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 1
GUA
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
SCI
19%
29%
53%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOA
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LON
0 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |