Guaraní vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 1
OSV
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |