Guaraní vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
3 - 2
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
GOI
3 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 3
GUA
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLU
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 3
PPE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
COT
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |