Série B Brazil . Jor. 16

Guaraní vs Figueirense analysis

Guaraní Figueirense
66 ELO 70
-4.7% Tilt -3.6%
474º General ELO ranking 1793º
32º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Guaraní
27.9%
Draw
34%
Figueirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34%
Win probability
Figueirense
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
-10%
+2%
Figueirense

ELO progression

Guaraní
Figueirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
Coritiba
COT
33%
28%
39%
66 73 7 0
05 Jul. 2018
OES
Oeste
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
41%
28%
31%
65 65 0 +1
30 Jun. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Boa EC
BOA
65%
23%
12%
65 56 9 0
20 Jun. 2018
AVA
Avaí
3 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
59%
24%
17%
65 73 8 0
15 Jun. 2018
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
São Bento
SAO
49%
27%
23%
65 65 0 0

Matches

Figueirense
Figueirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2018
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 2
Oeste
OES
52%
26%
22%
71 64 7 0
06 Jul. 2018
CRI
Criciúma
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
30%
28%
43%
71 61 10 0
30 Jun. 2018
FFL
Figueirense
0 - 2
Ponte Preta
PPE
41%
29%
30%
72 73 1 -1
23 Jun. 2018
COT
Coritiba
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
43%
28%
29%
72 72 0 0
13 Jun. 2018
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 0
Sampaio Correa
SAM
57%
25%
18%
71 63 8 +1
X