Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 1-1
Guaraní vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
GUA
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
OES
2 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 1
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
EST
3 - 2
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
AME
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |