CSL Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis

Guangzhou City Shenzhen FC
66 ELO 64
40.3% Tilt 14.1%
20063º General ELO ranking 19020º
101º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
66.4%
Guangzhou City
18.7%
Draw
14.9%
Shenzhen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Guangzhou City
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guangzhou City
Shenzhen FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guangzhou City
Guangzhou City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2021
QIN
Qingdao FC
0 - 1
Guangzhou City
GUA
35%
25%
40%
67 61 6 0
26 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou City
3 - 1
Chongqing Liangjiang
CHO
46%
23%
31%
66 70 4 +1
20 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 2
Guangzhou City
GUA
72%
18%
11%
65 82 17 +1
02 Dec. 2020
GUA
Guangzhou City
2 - 2
Shandong Taishan
SHA
28%
23%
49%
65 80 15 0
29 Nov. 2020
GUA
Guangzhou City
6 - 1
Suzhou Dongwu
SDO
84%
11%
6%
64 52 12 +1

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
75%
17%
9%
64 82 18 0
26 Apr. 2021
SHE
Shenzhen FC
0 - 0
Qingdao FC
QIN
52%
23%
25%
64 61 3 0
21 Apr. 2021
HEN
Henan FC
1 - 2
Shenzhen FC
SHE
47%
26%
27%
63 65 2 +1
10 Nov. 2020
SHE
Shenzhen FC
2 - 1
Qingdao FC
QIN
50%
23%
26%
62 61 1 +1
06 Nov. 2020
QIN
Qingdao FC
0 - 2
Shenzhen FC
SHE
51%
24%
25%
61 62 1 +1
X