Guangzhou City vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 5
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 0
SHA
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
GUI
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
JIA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |