Super Cup Final

Guangzhou FC vs Jiangsu FC analysis

Guangzhou FC Jiangsu FC
81 ELO 76
24.6% Tilt 5%
18579º General ELO ranking 19672º
87º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
71.7%
Guangzhou FC
16.7%
Draw
11.6%
Jiangsu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.6%
Win probability
Jiangsu FC
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guangzhou FC
Jiangsu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2013
GUA
Guangzhou FC
3 - 0
Urawa Reds
URA
68%
18%
14%
81 77 4 0
18 Nov. 2012
GUA
Guangzhou FC
4 - 2
Beijing Renhe
GUI
75%
15%
9%
81 73 8 0
10 Nov. 2012
GUI
Beijing Renhe
1 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
33%
26%
42%
81 73 8 0
03 Nov. 2012
BEI
Beijing Guoan
1 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
35%
27%
39%
81 76 5 0
27 Oct. 2012
GUA
Guangzhou FC
1 - 0
Liaoning Whowin
LIA
72%
17%
11%
81 73 8 0

Matches

Jiangsu FC
Jiangsu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2013
FCS
FC Seoul
5 - 1
Jiangsu FC
JIA
62%
22%
16%
76 77 1 0
03 Nov. 2012
GUA
Guangzhou City
1 - 1
Jiangsu FC
JIA
36%
29%
35%
76 66 10 0
27 Oct. 2012
JIA
Jiangsu FC
0 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
49%
25%
25%
76 76 0 0
20 Oct. 2012
JIA
Jiangsu FC
1 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
35%
26%
39%
76 81 5 0
06 Oct. 2012
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
1 - 0
Jiangsu FC
JIA
37%
29%
34%
76 68 8 0