Guangzhou FC vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
6 - 3
BEI
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BEI
0 - 1
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
PIR
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PIR
1 - 1
ALA
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
COT
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIR
0 - 0
ALA
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |