Guanacasteca vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
5º
26
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ADR
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CSH
0 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAP
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
CSU
0 - 3
SPO
12%
18%
70%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
LDA
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |