Gualta A vs Quart B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
47.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 1
GUA
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
SAU
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAG
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PON
8 - 0
GUA
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 7
SPA
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
QUA
7 - 1
SAG
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
PON
6 - 2
QUA
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
QUA
4 - 1
SPA
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 4
QUA
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
QUA
0 - 2
FLA
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |