Gualta A vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JAF
1 - 1
GUA
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BAS
6 - 2
GUA
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
PER
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 0
GUA
71%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 3
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PON
3 - 1
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
BEL
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 3
BEL
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |