Serie B - Ecuador Round 20

Gualaceo vs Mushuc Runa analysis

Gualaceo Mushuc Runa
69 ELO 70
-1.4% Tilt 10.2%
1038º General ELO ranking 743º
21º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
48%
Gualaceo
26.6%
Draw
25.4%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
Gualaceo
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.4%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gualaceo
-13%
+4%
Mushuc Runa

ELO progression

Gualaceo
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gualaceo
Gualaceo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2017
SSR
Santa Rita
2 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
40%
28%
32%
70 68 2 0
18 Jun. 2017
GUA
Gualaceo
0 - 0
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
57%
25%
18%
70 66 4 0
11 Jun. 2017
LOJ
LDU Loja
3 - 2
Gualaceo
GUA
33%
27%
41%
71 64 7 -1
07 Jun. 2017
GUA
Gualaceo
1 - 0
América Quito
AME
64%
22%
14%
70 64 6 +1
03 Jun. 2017
AUC
Aucas
4 - 3
Gualaceo
GUA
51%
25%
25%
71 73 2 -1

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2017
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 0
Técnico Universitario
TEC
39%
26%
36%
69 73 4 0
17 Jun. 2017
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 1
Santa Rita
SSR
58%
24%
18%
69 67 2 0
11 Jun. 2017
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa
MUS
40%
28%
32%
69 66 3 0
07 Jun. 2017
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 2
LDU Loja
LOJ
61%
22%
18%
70 64 6 -1
03 Jun. 2017
AME
América Quito
0 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
38%
28%
34%
70 64 6 0