Gualaceo vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
6º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
3 - 2
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CUN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
GUA
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
EME
24%
28%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 3
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
OCT
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |