Guajira vs Cariari Pococí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guajira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 5
TUR
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
JFC
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAS
0 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 4
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |