Guaireña vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
7 - 2
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 1
RES
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RÑU
0 - 3
SPO
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
SET
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |