Guaireña vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
12O
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
GUA
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |