Guaireña vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPT
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 0
ATY
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FER
3 - 2
GUA
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
IND
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SPT
2 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
JLM
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ATY
3 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 4
RIC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |