Guadalix de la Sierra vs Villa Buitrago del Lozoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalix de la Sierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GSI
5 - 1
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GSI
2 - 0
ESC
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RDM
2 - 3
GSI
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GSI
1 - 2
SAG
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 4
GSI
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Buitrago del Lozoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 3
VBL
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VBL
1 - 2
MSP
50%
20%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 3
VBL
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 3
VBL
14%
17%
68%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
VBL
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |