Guadalcanal C.D vs Mairena del Aljarafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 1
GUA
33%
24%
44%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAN
54%
22%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
0 - 2
GUA
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mairena del Aljarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAI
4 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MAI
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAI
4 - 1
LIC
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 2
MAI
42%
21%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
4 - 4
MOS
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |