Liga MX Sub 20 - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Chivas Guadalajara U20 vs Pumas UNAM U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
PUM
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 2
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
PUM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 2
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |