League MX Sub 19 - Apertura Normal Season Round 1

Chivas Guadalajara U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis

Chivas Guadalajara U19 Toluca U19
52 ELO 48
-7.4% Tilt -6%
4303º General ELO ranking 4276º
78º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
54%
Chivas Guadalajara U19
23.6%
Draw
22.4%
Toluca U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chivas Guadalajara U19
+2%
+16%
Toluca U19

ELO progression

Chivas Guadalajara U19
Toluca U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara U19
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
2 - 1
Necaxa U19
NEX
40%
26%
34%
51 51 0 0
15 May. 2024
NEX
Necaxa U19
0 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara U19
GUA
55%
23%
22%
50 52 2 +1
11 May. 2024
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
2 - 2
América U19
AME
47%
25%
29%
50 48 2 0
08 May. 2024
AME
América U19
0 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara U19
GUA
43%
24%
32%
50 48 2 0
04 May. 2024
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1 - 1
Tijuana U19
TIJ
54%
23%
23%
50 43 7 0

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 1
Cruz Azul U19
CRZ
56%
24%
20%
49 45 4 0
19 Apr. 2024
ATL
Atl. San Luis U19
2 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
27%
26%
47%
50 42 8 -1
13 Apr. 2024
AME
América U19
1 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
45%
25%
31%
50 48 2 0
07 Apr. 2024
TOL
Toluca U19
3 - 1
Atlas FC U19
ATL
54%
24%
21%
49 45 4 +1
30 Mar. 2024
PAC
Pachuca U19
3 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
43%
25%
32%
50 48 2 -1