Guaçuano vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 5
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |