Grunbach vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
OFF
2 - 2
GRU
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 4
SIN
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 1
REU
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AST
4 - 2
GRU
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 3
NEC
22%
24%
55%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 0
FRE
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 3
VFR
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
HOL
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 1
HOL
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 2
KSC
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |