Groupe Bazano vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 1
GBA
44%
30%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GBA
1 - 1
RAN
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BKD
0 - 3
GBA
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
NDB
0 - 1
GBA
52%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
GBA
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
DAU
58%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
5 - 1
NDB
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 1
DBL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
RCK
0 - 3
MOT
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
LUB
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |