Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
9º
7º
12
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 80 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 71 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 70 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 54 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 43 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
GRO
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 1
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |