Grevenmacher vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
JEU
4 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
F91
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SWI
3 - 1
GRE
26%
24%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 1
CSP
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 11
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
VIC
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ETZ
1 - 2
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
RAC
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2005 |
KAE
2 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
RUM
1 - 3
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |